State-by-State Polls: Republicans on Defense

There’s still plenty of time and four debates between now and election day, but it can’t be a bad sign that Barack Obama is ahead in 2004 red states Colorado, Iowa, and New Mexico.  Electoral-vote.com shows an Obama lead in Virginia, but it looks more realistically like a tie.  That state is right on the line.  In 2006, it elected Democrat Jim Web to the senate by 0.3 percent of the vote.

Ohio is a tie.  I suppose that’s a reflection of the battle between normal people in northern Ohio and rural and southern Ohioans, like coffee shop trashbag John Clouse.

Obama’s also holding the 2004 Kerry base, with the exception of New Hampshire.  I guess they love Pepperidge Farm cookies and hate the American economy up there.

Michigan is called a tossup, which makes no sense.  Sure, the polling is fairly close, but where are McCain’s votes going to come from? Unemployed former auto workers? Detroit?

Florida looks close, but is it? It’s become kind of a cliche to say that the state has been trending Republican.  The state’s economy is cratering as it is elsewhere.  The Democratic party has registered “huge” numbers of new voters there.    And Sarah Palin has to scare the bejesus out of my people, among whom the aged might have considered voting for fellow alta cocker John McCain.

Here’s the map: